ADVERTISEMENT

Rest of the games win probability via advanced metrics

droski

What a Bonanza!
Gold Member
Jan 13, 2009
40,652
23,755
113
LA
FPI:

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi/_/id/25/california-golden-bears

OSU - 78.8%
Oregon - 55.5%
USC - 23.5%
UW - 21.8%
WSU - 31.4% (wut???)
Furd - 36.4%
UCLA - 35.3%

Total - 2.82 wins

S&P:

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/pa...al-profile?_ga=1.91600339.85592226.1441119465

OSU - 71%
Oregon - 43% (wut??)
USC - 28%
UW - 22%
WSU - 46% (looks right)
Furd - 43%
UCLA - 42%

Total: 2.95 wins

Outside of the Oregon game S&P lines up more with my thinking. I think our chances against UW are much higher than 22% too.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: dlit and HKBear97
ADVERTISEMENT

Latest posts

ADVERTISEMENT
  • Member-Only Message Boards

  • Exclusive coverage of Rivals Camp Series

  • Exclusive Highlights and Recruiting Interviews

  • Breaking Recruiting News

Log in or subscribe today