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My 2015 Stat Predictions (aka random picks)

beeasyed

What a Bonanza!
Apr 21, 2010
11,005
14,239
113
posting it all here as a record just so i can flex like @Nam Le, if and when i'm right. i encourage everyone to copy&paste their own version and join in this bs'ing game!!

Total Passing Yards: 4500
Goff: 4100 (+100)
Forrest: 400

Goff stats:
68% completion (+6%)
38 TDs (+3)
5 INTs (-2)

Forrest stats:
60% completion
4 TDs
2 INTs

Total Receiving Yards: 4500
Harris: 500 (+250)
Davis: 600 (+200)
Powe: 500 (+170)
Anderson: 750 (+100)
Treggs: 650 (+70)
Lawler: 700 (+0)
Hudson: 150 (+30)
Lasco: 400 (+50)
Muhammad: 50 (-15)
Noa: 75 (new)
Hansen: 50 (new)
Austin: 25 (new)
Rest: 50 (new)

Total Rushing Yards: 2000
Lasco: 1200
Enwere: 400
Muhammad: 250
Watson: 150

Misc. Stats
Total Sacks: 22 (+6)
Total Interceptions: 14 (+2)
Total Interceptions thrown: 7 (-3)
Turnover Margin: 0.4/g (#9 in PAC to #6)

Scoring Offense: 36 ppg (-2.3)
Scoring Defense: 30 ppg (-9.8) (#12 in PAC, to #9)
Penalty Yds: 65 yds/pg (#12 in PAC, to #6)

3rd Down Conversion: 50% (+4%)

****
- Lawler will improve slightly on strength/separation, but due to spreading ball around won't see increase in yardage (last year's leader). Davis, Powe, and Harris are my big picks--i think/hope they will emerge dominant this year.

- I didn't the actual difference from last year for stats like turnover margin bc the numbers are kind of meaningless, except in comparison to rest of the teams in the conference

- i think Scoring Offense will go down slightly NOT bc our offense will not have improved, but bc:
1) we play more competitive teams (and defenses) in Texas, Utah, and ASU over Northwestern, Colorado, and ASU
2) games will be more competitive on both sides of ball; less TDs will be scored in meaningless/garbage time (Oregon)

- similarly, i think Goff experiences big improvement in completion due to better decision-making + WRs, but minimal improvement in TD:INT ratio due to improved efficiency in games (w/o needing to score more). more time possession

- scoring defense improving by 10 sounds extremely ambitious, i know.

- going all in on Forrest: think he will get quite a bit of PT against Grambling, SDSU, and perhaps OSU this year. Goff's total yards barely goes up

- even if we do all this, we might still only finish with 7 or 8 wins.
 
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