Can't pick a usc game to save my life. 3-3 for the week for 34-32-1 for the year with 1-0 in my lock of the week for 6-5 for the year: http://cal.forums.rivals.com/threads/lets-pick-the-pac-12-games-week-11.7925/
[home team in italics]
ASU by 6 over UA - Was hoping for a lower line than this. I wouldn't be surprised by any outcome, but it's pretty clear ASU is the vastly superior team IMO.
Furd by 12 over Cal - If we can't get a pass rush against OSU, it's hard to see one coming against the furd. Can we exploit the Furd's D like Oregon? I don't believe we have the talent in space to do so. I think this is a fair line and expect the final score to be in this range, but I have to think the Furd covers.
UW by 16 over OSU - So OSU is much worse than I thought, but 16 points at home against a pretty bad offense? I don't know. Flip a coin. OSU covers.
Utah by 2 over UCLA - This line opened at ucla -2. Travis Wilson is a shell of the qb we saw earlier this year. Utah was down by 5 with a minute left in the game and the coaches still chose to run it every play. what does that tell you? They are done. UCLA wins.
WSU by 15 over Colorado - Colorado has been covering and WSU likely won't be up for it. Colorado covers. Barely.
Oregon by 4 over USC - This line opened at Oregon -1.5. Classic overreaction to last week. Now USC is banged up in the front 7, so that is a factor. But USC will be up for this game and wins outright.
Non conference lock of the week: Tenn by 9 over Mizzu - Emotionally charged home game, good defense against a poorly coached Tenn offense means low scoring game. Mizzu covers. Also like Kansas +28.
[home team in italics]
ASU by 6 over UA - Was hoping for a lower line than this. I wouldn't be surprised by any outcome, but it's pretty clear ASU is the vastly superior team IMO.
Furd by 12 over Cal - If we can't get a pass rush against OSU, it's hard to see one coming against the furd. Can we exploit the Furd's D like Oregon? I don't believe we have the talent in space to do so. I think this is a fair line and expect the final score to be in this range, but I have to think the Furd covers.
UW by 16 over OSU - So OSU is much worse than I thought, but 16 points at home against a pretty bad offense? I don't know. Flip a coin. OSU covers.
Utah by 2 over UCLA - This line opened at ucla -2. Travis Wilson is a shell of the qb we saw earlier this year. Utah was down by 5 with a minute left in the game and the coaches still chose to run it every play. what does that tell you? They are done. UCLA wins.
WSU by 15 over Colorado - Colorado has been covering and WSU likely won't be up for it. Colorado covers. Barely.
Oregon by 4 over USC - This line opened at Oregon -1.5. Classic overreaction to last week. Now USC is banged up in the front 7, so that is a factor. But USC will be up for this game and wins outright.
Non conference lock of the week: Tenn by 9 over Mizzu - Emotionally charged home game, good defense against a poorly coached Tenn offense means low scoring game. Mizzu covers. Also like Kansas +28.
