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Does home field advantage really matter anymore?

droski

What a Bonanza!
Gold Member
Jan 13, 2009
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Some interesting statistics. . .

I thought dykes was better than tedford in this matter, but maybe this is just a shift.

http://dataomaha.com/bigstory/sports/college-footballs-greatest-myth

Across the five major conferences, from 1996 through 2013, home teams won 56.5 percent of league games. There were a few ups and downs, but the rate was pretty steady.

Now look at 2014 and 2015, the two most balanced seasons in the 20-year span. Power Five home teams won just 50.8 percent. Their total record: 267-259.

2015: 52.3% (137-125)
2014: 49.2% (130-134)


In 2014, Pac-12 home teams went 21-33, the worst mark of any major conference in 20 years of study.

Here's what did change: From 2004 through 2011, home teams won 52 percent of close games (367-339). About what you'd expect, right?

Contrast that to 2012 through 2015, when home teams' win percentage in close games dropped to 41.6 percent (162-227).



 
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